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Praxisbeispiele

From Forecasts to Knowledge (Live Session)

Why interpreting expert knowledge is difficult

with Yannick Vogt (in English)

Have you always wanted to know how forecasts work in practice? How can they be used, for example, to predict developments in countries, from famine to armed conflict? Can AI help here? A report from the field (Duration: 44:31min) .

Index to the Video:

  • 00:00 min : Introduction
  • 00:42 min : Background information
  • 01:40 min : Why forecasting?
  • 03:51 min : What is a forecast and how does it work?
  • 05:43 min : Who is forecasting?
  • 07:38 min : Traditional expertise vs. Forecasting: Fighting bias
  • 08:51 min : From forecast to expertise
  • 11:31 min : Example: (Old) platform for forecasting
  • 15:28 min : Individual judgement to an iterative collective model
  • 19:08 min : Changing to AI forecasting
  • 22:45 min : Example: New platform for forecasting
  • 25:33 min : Important to remember

 Q&A

  • 27:40 min : Will any news or media sources be used for the forecast?
  • 28:49 min : What do you know about the assumptions made by your forecasters? What would happen if there were major changes to the situation in the near future (black swan effect)?
  • 33:37 min : What happens to the human forecasters, the experts, in the AI era? Are they taking the role of the human in the loop? Reviewing the AI forecast?
  • 36:47 min : Is the role of human forecasters changing even more? What changes are there in information collection and structuring?
  • 39:45 min : Does forecast accuracy depend on the subject? Are there subjects where experts are better than the crowd, or does it differ?
  • 42:18 min : What were your Lessons Learned about forecasting?
Projekt - Blog

A short history of KM development (live session)

From knowledge distribution to knowledge sharing – A short history of KM development

with Prof. Peter Pawlowsky, TU Chemnitz, Gesellschaft für Wissensmanagement e.V.

Together with Prof. Peter Pawlowsky, author of numerous publications on knowledge management, responsible for the first German master’s degree in knowledge management at Chemnitz University of Technology and one of the founders of the „Gesellschaft für Wissensmanagement e.V.“, we take a look back at the development of knowledge management and take a look at the future: What are the main KM topics in the next few years? (duration: 1h 23min):

index:

  • 00:00 min : Welcome
  • 00:54 min : Introduction
  • 04:02 min : Agenda
  • 05:13 min : KM – unde venis (?): Development phases
  • 05:44 min : Knowledge Management Phases 1 – Roots of KM
  • 14:35 min : Knowledge Management Phases 2 – Job demand perspective
  • 18:23 min : Knowledge Management Phases 3 – Distribution of Knowledge – Technology, Tools, IC value assessment, Wissensbilanz made in Germany, SECI-Model
  • 33:15 min : Knowledge Management Phases 4 – Competitivness, strategic management, experiental knowledge, VUCA world,
  • 43:03 min : Knowledge Management Phases 5 – from distribution of knowledge to knowledge sharing (new openess)
  • 49:27 min : Knowledge Management Phases 6 – Digitalization, cognitive computing, IoT, AI, social innovation
  • 56:29 min : KM – today: Bibliometric overview 2021
  • 59:09 min : KM – quo vadis (?): Future focus fields
  • 59:35 min : Field 1: KM for societal development
  • 01:01:51 min: Field 2: Crisis-, disaster management and military intelligence
  • 01:05:02 min: Field 3: KM in Healthcare
  • 01:07:27 min: Field 4: ISO 30401:2018
    –
  • 01:10:22 min: Questions & Answers
  • 01:10:39 min: Is there any publication based on this research that can be reached?
  • 01:12:03 min: The view on what success means changed. Success is not only messured in growth anymore, that changed the aim of Knowledge Management, I think, right?
  • 01:15:26 min: How does the culture of asia has impaced what you assumted?
  • 01:20:43 min: What do you think about the latest movements introducing spiritual and indiginous approaches in KM?
  • 01:23:54 min: Ending

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